The pound euro exchange rate failed to move much on the second to last day of trading before Christmas. Investors cautiously eyed Brexit developments and regional elections in Catalonia, Spain. The pair ended the day roughly where it started at €1.1268.
|What do these figures mean?|
When measuring the value of a pair of currencies, one set equals 1 unit and the other shows the current equivalent. As the market moves, the amount will vary from minute to minute.
For example, it could be written: 1 GBP = 1.13990 EUR
Here, £1 is equivalent to approximately €1.14. This specifically measures the pound’s worth against the euro. If the euro amount increases in this pairing, it’s positive for the pound.
Or, if you were looking at it the other way around: 1 EUR = 0.87271 GBP
In this example, €1 is equivalent to approximately £0.87. This measures the euro’s worth versus the British pound. If the sterling number gets larger, it’s good news for the euro.
The EU is reportedly set to offer the UK a Canada-style trade deal, should UK Prime Minister Theresa May fail to make clear Britain’s desires before the summer. This style of trade deal would fall short of what the UK would be hoping for, particularly in the area of services, which makes up the largest part of the UK economy.
The EU has requested that Theresa May and the UK government provide more clarity on how they view the future relationship between the UK and the EU post Brexit. Theresa May is expected to outline her vision early next year, which is expected to be along the lines of a bespoke agreement, combining the best of being inside and outside the bloc. This option is something many believe the EU will not like. In the case that the EU isn’t suitably impressed or feel that the proposals lack sufficient concrete plans, they are expected to offer the Canada-style trade deal in a take it or leave it proposal. A more bespoke deal would be better for the pound as it would ensure a smoother Brexit.
|Why is a smooth Brexit good for the pound?|
|A smoother Brexit would be a scenario in which the economic consequences of leaving the European Union are minimised. This is favourable for the pound because the less the Brexit impact on the economy, the more likely that foreign investors will remain interested in the UK. Foreign investors need sterling to invest in the country and so the more GBP is purchased, the higher the demand and, thus, an increase in the currency’s value.|
With little else to focus on in the run up to Christmas, investors are keeping an eye on the regional elections in Catalonia. Millions have turned out to vote in the first elections since the independence referendum in October. Though initial polls were too close to call, at this point the pro-independence party has declared victory. Defying predictions, the pro-independence party went on to secure an overall majority with 70 seats out of 135, and 47.5% of the popular vote. Though many were fearing the clash between the unionists and pro-independence sides, a repeat of October’s chaos and violence is unlikely. The road to independence is still a very, very long one. Which is why the split isn’t creating a state of desperation in euro traders, but is still weighing slightly on the common currency.
|This publication is provided for general information purposes only and is not intended to cover every aspect of the topics which it deals. It is not intended to amount to advice on which you should rely. You must obtain professional or specialist advice before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content in this publication. The information in this publication does not constitute legal, tax or other professional advice from TransferWise Limited or its affiliates. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. We make no representations, warranties or guarantees, whether express or implied, that the content is the publication is accurate, complete or up to date.|
Data showing strong economic growth in the US ensured that the US dollar charged higher versus the pound on Wednesday. As a result, the pound US dollar...
The pound has dropped versus the euro after the Bank of England (BoE) left investors disappointed in the previous session. The pound is currently trading at...
After a strong pound sell-off on Friday against the Australian dollar, the exchange rate has started the new week on slightly more solid footing. Pound...
The pound was seen making gains in early trade on Monday against most of its peers, including the Australian dollar before selling off later in the day. The...
The pound declined early on last week, before recovering losses later in the week. The pound euro exchange rate closed the week at €1.1425 approximately the...
The pound US dollar exchange rate dived lower before rebounding and making back a good part of the losses. The pair dropped to a low of US$1.3147 on Brexit...